Pre-tourney Rankings
East Tennessee St.
Southern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#89
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#81
Pace68.1#199
Improvement-1.4#253

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#99
First Shot+0.8#155
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#41
Layup/Dunks+2.1#101
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#196
Freethrows-1.4#284
Improvement+1.8#93

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#100
First Shot+0.6#154
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#12
Layups/Dunks+1.5#102
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#256
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#211
Freethrows+0.4#155
Improvement-3.2#307
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 3.00.0 - 6.0
Quad 22.0 - 3.02.0 - 9.0
Quad 34.0 - 0.06.0 - 9.0
Quad 416.0 - 0.022.0 - 9.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 116   @ Georgia St. L 68-74 46%     0 - 1 +0.7 -0.8 +1.3
  Nov 11, 2018 49   @ Creighton L 69-75 24%     0 - 2 +6.9 +2.9 +3.9
  Nov 17, 2018 190   @ Winthrop W 76-74 68%     1 - 2 +3.0 -3.9 +6.8
  Nov 19, 2018 351   Chicago St. W 86-61 99%     2 - 2 +2.5 +6.1 -2.5
  Nov 20, 2018 177   Sam Houston St. W 77-63 81%     3 - 2 +10.3 +10.4 +1.7
  Nov 24, 2018 195   North Dakota St. W 79-61 84%     4 - 2 +13.2 +6.9 +7.6
  Nov 27, 2018 111   @ Georgia Southern W 69-64 45%     5 - 2 +12.0 -8.1 +19.6
  Dec 01, 2018 25   @ Wofford L 62-79 16%     5 - 3 0 - 1 -0.8 -3.4 +2.1
  Dec 08, 2018 297   Tennessee Martin W 80-62 93%     6 - 3 +7.2 -5.3 +11.8
  Dec 15, 2018 75   @ Illinois L 55-73 35%     6 - 4 -8.5 -13.8 +5.5
  Dec 21, 2018 308   Wyoming W 76-53 91%     7 - 4 +13.9 -8.6 +19.9
  Dec 22, 2018 269   Norfolk St. W 89-61 87%     8 - 4 +21.7 +12.0 +8.9
  Dec 29, 2018 61   Furman W 79-56 51%     9 - 4 1 - 1 +28.3 +19.4 +11.7
  Jan 03, 2019 159   Samford W 81-72 OT 78%     10 - 4 2 - 1 +6.4 -3.6 +8.9
  Jan 05, 2019 265   Chattanooga W 96-70 91%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +17.1 +14.3 +1.8
  Jan 10, 2019 278   @ The Citadel W 98-73 82%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +21.1 +8.7 +9.7
  Jan 12, 2019 203   @ Mercer W 72-68 OT 70%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +4.2 +3.8 +0.7
  Jan 17, 2019 295   VMI W 85-82 93%     14 - 4 6 - 1 -7.7 +0.8 -8.7
  Jan 19, 2019 97   UNC Greensboro L 68-75 63%     14 - 5 6 - 2 -4.6 -1.6 -3.1
  Jan 26, 2019 283   @ Western Carolina W 91-69 82%     15 - 5 7 - 2 +17.9 +13.3 +4.2
  Jan 31, 2019 159   @ Samford W 74-66 60%     16 - 5 8 - 2 +11.0 +0.8 +10.1
  Feb 02, 2019 265   @ Chattanooga W 77-64 80%     17 - 5 9 - 2 +9.7 +7.4 +3.2
  Feb 07, 2019 25   Wofford L 76-78 OT 31%     17 - 6 9 - 3 +8.7 +7.3 +1.3
  Feb 09, 2019 61   @ Furman L 61-91 31%     17 - 7 9 - 4 -19.2 -0.3 -21.3
  Feb 14, 2019 278   The Citadel W 91-83 91%     18 - 7 10 - 4 -1.5 +10.2 -11.6
  Feb 16, 2019 203   Mercer W 88-69 85%     19 - 7 11 - 4 +13.6 +9.7 +3.5
  Feb 21, 2019 295   @ VMI W 94-70 84%     20 - 7 12 - 4 +18.9 +12.3 +5.5
  Feb 24, 2019 97   @ UNC Greensboro L 59-60 41%     20 - 8 12 - 5 +6.9 -3.4 +10.2
  Mar 02, 2019 283   Western Carolina W 81-74 92%     21 - 8 13 - 5 -2.7 -0.5 -2.4
  Mar 09, 2019 265   Chattanooga W 68-64 86%     22 - 8 -2.1 -6.0 +4.0
  Mar 10, 2019 25   Wofford L 72-81 23%     22 - 9 +4.5 +2.9 +1.6
Projected Record 22.0 - 9.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%